|Archive Blog Cast Forum RSS Books! Poll Results About Search Fan Art Podcast More Stuff Random Support on Patreon|
New comics Mon-Fri; reruns Sat-Sun
Poll ResultsPoll 561: I've tossed a coin before writing this poll question. Heads or tails?
Total votes: 2784
It was tails. Specifically, I tossed a one-dollar coin, and it landed on the side showing the kangaroos, rather than the Queen's head.
I'm astonished at the asymmetry in the answers. I expected the ratios to be much closer to 50/50. In fact, a simple application of the binomial theorem shows that the probability of 1824 (or more) people out of 2784 choosing heads is about 10-61, if you assume that people effectively choose randomly between heads or tails with a 50% chance of each option. This essentially proves* that the probabilities of poll respondents picking heads or tails are not equal - there is some systematic bias towards heads. It's not too hard to guess what the bias might be - probably a significant number of people just picked the first item on the list of options, having no particularly good reason to pick anything else.
* At the 99.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999% confidence level, for the statistically pedantic.